Overview
Field: Machine Learning Author: Yisen Xi Published: 2025-09-01 arXiv: 2509.00143
Motivation
The 2025–2026 AI market has seen a wave of stealth releases: frontier models launched anonymously on developer platforms under codenames. For users, identity determines data-handling terms, supply-chain risk, and capability expectations. However, no validated methodology exists for black-box identity verification of anonymous models: practitioner checklists lack accuracy evidence, and self-identification is untrustworthy by design.
The Four-Stage Forensic Audit Protocol
- Stage 0 — Archival reconstruction: Reconstructs launch-time configuration from archived platform snapshots (Internet Archive), exposing preview–production drift.
- Stage 1 — Configuration fingerprinting: Fingerprints configuration (context length, output ceiling, reasoning, modality) against the platform catalog.
- Stage 2 — Tokenizer identification: Tests tokenizer identity with cross-length differential tests, rejecting short-prompt conflicts.
- Stage 3 — Behavioral corroboration: Uses behavioral probes to corroborate findings.
- 7 exact matches
- 2 precision discrepancies
- 1 partial match
- 0 contradictions
- Flagship case: An analysis on 2026-08-23 pointed to the GLM-5.3 version line; official disclosure confirmed the family and version-line inference (deployment variants were not pre-asserted; a "Flash" designation was consistent post-revelation).
- Three Stage-0-only cases: The protocol produced graded hypotheses or refusals rather than guesses when evidence was limited.
Evaluation
The protocol was tested for claim consistency on 10 known-identity releases, yielding:
Rather than claiming end-to-end identification of anonymous models, the evaluation focuses on consistency of claims where ground truth is known.
Prospective Validation
Availability
A standard-library-only implementation is provided as supplementary material.
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*Auto-collected on 2026-09-02*